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Projecting Auburn’s NCAA Tournament bracketology (March 9) – 247Sports

Auburn continues to flirt with a coveted 4-seed, but the Tigers are on the lower-end of the 5-seed line for the NCAA Tournament after a roller-coaster ride during the final week of the regular season.

No. 20 Auburn (25-6, 12-6 SEC) again split games for the second straight week with a loss at home to Texas A&M, a Quadrant 3 team, and a 22-point victory on the road at Tennessee, a Quadrant 1 team.

Auburn’s seed-line took a hit among 122 brackets aggregated by BracketMatrix.com. The Tigers jumped slightly from fell from an average seed line of 4.66 to 5.17 on Monday. The Tigers’ are the third-strongest No. 5 seed, according to the aggregation.

Auburn may need to reach the SEC Championship to improve its seeding. The Tigers will face Missouri or Texas A&M in the quarterfinals of the SEC Tournament on Friday. A win against either team will not be considered a Quadrant 1 victory, which would strengthen the Tigers’ resume. A loss, however, would certainly hurt the Tigers on a neutral floor and could drop them to the 6-seed line.

Auburn will play the winner of Mizzou-Texas A&M at 6 p.m. CT Friday on the SEC Network. Auburn is 0-2 against the opponents, with a double-digit loss at Mizzou and a 78-75 loss in Auburn’s home finale last week.

Where Auburn lands in the NCAA Tournament will depend greatly on the NCAA’s NET rankings and the Tigers’ quadrant records. Gone is the importance of the RPI. The NCAA Tournament Committee doesn’t even consider the RPI while setting the field for March Madness. Those days are long gone, and in its place is the NET. Auburn enters this week ranked No. 27 in the NET, which is where it was entering last week.

Let’s take a look at Auburn’s bracketology, its records against the quadrants in the NET rankings and projections for its final two regular-season games via BracketMatrix.com, ESPN’s Basketball Power Index, KenPom.com and RealTimeRPI.com.

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